Justice delayed, not yet denied: an update on the ICC arrest warrants for Benjamin Netanyahu and Yoav Gallant

It was a landmark ruling by the worldâs supreme judicial body.
Israelâs 57-year occupation and colonial settlement of the Palestinian territories are unlawful, it must withdraw from the territories âas rapidly as possible,â and UN member states must hold Israel to account for its wrongful acts, the International Court of Justice declared last July 19, in The Hague, in a non-binding 12-3 vote.
Sometime this fall, across town, a 3-judge panel of a totally different court â the International Criminal Court (independent from the UN) â will issue one of two far more consequential rulings.
In response to Chief Prosecutor Karim Khanâs May 20 application for arrest warrants against Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, Defense Minister Yoav Gallant, and three Hamas leaders (Yahiya Sinwar, Ismail Haniyeh, who Israel killed in an assassination in Iran on July 31, and Mohammed Deif, who Israel claims to have killed but which Hamas denies), ICC Pre-Trial Chamber I (PTC) may approve Khanâs application, in which case arrest warrants would likely be issued shortly thereafter.
Alternatively, the PTC may tell Khan that Israel should have an opportunity to prove its own legal system is capable of holding Israelis responsible for the war crimes and crimes against humanity theyâve allegedly committed, a process that could drag on for months.
The first of these two scenarios was what ICC watchers had anticipated, in the weeks following Khanâs arrest warrant application.
Then, the process went sideways.
On June 10, Rishi Sunakâs UK government asked the PTC for leave to submit an amicusbrief regarding ICC âjurisdiction over Israeli nationals, in circumstances where Palestine cannot exercise [it] pursuant to the Oslo Accords.â
The Oslo gambit. No more powerful countermeasure against the rule of law in Palestine.
âPeaceâ, the UK and Israelâs other allies argue, can only be secured through face-to-face negotiation between the âpartiesâ, Israelâs lawyers at the door, ensuring Israeli terms are met; blocking Palestinian end-runs at the UN, or in halls of justice.
Justice would just muck things up.
In late June, the PTC granted Britainâs request, ruling that other parties could file amicus briefs too.
Israel and Palestineâs respective advocates leaped at the offer. Not knowing the thrust of everyone elseâs briefs, the Pandoraâs box of legal and political arguments would be opened wide, rendering what should have been a swift, straightforward procedure anything but.
In the end, Keir Starmer now at the helm, the British government opted not to submit observations to the court, but Sunakâs move had paid off.
The three PTC judgesâRomanian, Beninese, and Frenchâare now sifting through a pile of 10-page briefs. Roughly half of them call on the Chamber to approve Khanâs application for arrest warrants, while the other half call for the application to be denied or delayed.
The arguments against a warrant
Khanâs arrest warrant application should be dismissed, Israelâs lawyers and advocates argue.
Israel is not a State Party to the Rome Statute, they claim, so its leaders are exempt from prosecution.
Furthermore, although Palestine is a State Party to the Rome Statute, the U.S. State Department and South Carolina Senator Lindsey Graham told the PTC in two separate amicus briefs, itâs not a ârealâ state under public international law.
Cutting to the Oslo Accords, they clearly stipulated that Palestinians would only exercise criminal jurisdiction over Palestinians, U.S. State and Lindsey Graham argue. What Palestine doesnât possess â jurisdiction over Israelis â it cannot âdelegateâ to the ICC.
ICC arrest warrants against Israeli leaders wouldnât just violate Osloâs fine print, others told the PTC, it would be indecent and prejudicial.
Arrest warrants would create âa misguided, shocking moral equivalence between Israel and Hamas leaders,â Canadaâs Centre for Israel & Jewish Affairs argued in its brief to the Chamber.
According to UK Lawyers for Israel, âthe resulting restriction on the ability of many Israelis to travel to most countries without fear of arrest could even have significant adverse impacts on the world economy, given the disproportionate contribution made by Israelis to technological innovation.â
Among such innovations, a âHigh Level Military Groupâ of retired NATO officers and officials advised the PTC, a digital mapping system called the âCivilian Harm Mitigation Cell.â
âHow such innovative efforts align with an allegation of the defendants in this matter directing the IDF to intentionally attack civilians is perplexing,â the Military Group told the Tribunal.
The PTCâs judges will almost certainly dismiss arguments like this.
Potentially more convincing, the Courtâs complementarity principle: accused parties have the right to investigate alleged crimes themselves prior to the issuance of arrest warrants, and prosecutor Khan failed to let Israel do so.
âSterileâ arguments
The PTC has heard these arguments before, from many of the same suspects, and is unlikely to dive down the rabbit hole of shaky legal and irrelevant political arguments, informed ICC watchers told Mondoweiss.
In February 2021, the PTC ruled that Palestine was indeed a State Party âfor the purposes of the Rome Statute,â that alleged crimes occurred on Palestinian territory, and that ICC jurisdiction therefore encompassed the West Bank, East Jerusalem, and Gaza.
The PTC also opined on Oslo. Whatever constraints the Accords placed on Palestinian criminal jurisdiction, it ruled in February 2021, Oslo was not âpertinentâ to ICC jurisdiction â although Oslo constraints could be raised at a later stage of Court proceedings.
Oslo is a âred herring,â Palestineâs advocates say.
âThat the UK abandoned [the Oslo] argument speaks volumes,â Canadian legal scholar William Schabas told Mondoweiss, in emailed comments.
âThe claim that Israel somehow conferred a limited criminal jurisdiction upon the State of Palestine [in the Oslo Accords] is a colonialist vision,â Schabas told the PTC in his amicusbrief, suggesting in the final lines that genocide and apartheid be added to Prosecutor Khanâs charges.
More to the point, Schabas and others told the PTC: whatever jurisdictional constraints Oslo placed on Palestine thirty years ago are irrelevant because State Parties donât âdelegateâ jurisdiction to the Court â they accept the courtâs jurisdiction, at which point the Prosecutor is free to investigate âreferredâ situations, and to apply to the PTC for arrest warrants if reasonable grounds are established.
Bottom line: The ICC acts on behalf of the international community as whole, Palestineâs advocates told the PTC, not on behalf of State Parties â who may only exercise limited criminal jurisdiction within their territories, or no jurisdiction at all, possibly due to âspecial agreementsâ like Oslo.
No higher authority on this matter than Norway.
âThere is ⊠nothing in the [Rome] Statute to suggest that agreements such as the Oslo Accords are of any relevance to the determination of the Courtâs jurisdiction,â Oslo-based Norwegian Foreign Affairs official Monica Furnes told the PTC.
âPalestine cannot be deemed, through its adherence to the Oslo Accords, to have abandoned any aspects of its sovereignty, including any of its powers of jurisdiction, such that it should be unable to confer this jurisdiction on the Court,â Furnes wrote in her brief to the Chamber.
â[In] any event,â Furnes advised the PTC, âany limitations in the Oslo Accords concern only Palestineâs enforcement jurisdiction, not its prescriptive jurisdiction, which it has remained free to confer on the Court.â
Prescriptive jurisdiction is the right to âmake lawâ and accede to international legal instruments. Palestine possesses this in spades. In the wake of its successful bid for observer state status at the UN in November 2012, Palestine acceded to a host of international legal instruments and treaties, including the Geneva Conventions and their three Additional Protocols. In January 2015, it acceded to the Rome Statute of the ICC, provoking howls of outrage from Israel and the U.S.
Whatever jurisdictional constraints Osloâs Legal Protocol does place on Palestine, Norway, and others told the PTC, narrow legalisms miss the forest for the trees.
The International Court of Justice confirmed this point in its July 19 Advisory Opinion, ruling that âIsrael may not rely on the Oslo Accords to exercise its jurisdiction in the Occupied Palestinian Territory in a manner that is at variance with its obligations under the law of occupation.â
Driving the nail into the Oslo coffin, the ICJ also cited Article 47 of the Fourth Geneva Convention: protected people âshall not be deprivedâ of the benefits of the Convention âby any agreement concluded between the authorities of the occupied territories and the Occupying Power.â
As for âcomplementarityâ arguments, pure rubbish, says William Schabas.
â[Some] contend Israel shouldnât be investigated because they have a state of the art justice system,â Schabas told Mondoweiss in emailed comments.
âSeriously,â Schabas asks? âWith thousands of Palestinians held without trial? This is a country that defies orders from the International Court of Justice, yet we are supposed to be impressed by its devotion to the rule of law?â
âThey claim Israel should have been warned in a notice by the Prosecutor that they were being investigated,â Schabas wrote to Mondoweiss. âIsnât this absurd? As if they donât know. Their Prime Minister has denounced the investigation over and over again. Now, apparently, heâs entitled to a notification that there will be an investigation.â
That Israel should have been given a chance to address Khanâs expanded charges (relative to his predecessor, Fatou Bensouda) is a âsterile argument,â ICC observer Sergey Vasiliev told Mondoweiss in an email note.
â[Netanyahu] knew what was coming, was getting really worried about it, and tried as hard as he could to prevent it by working behind the scenes with the U.S. and others,â Vasiliev told Mondoweiss. âHe failed and applications were filed.â
Furthermore, Vasiliev told Mondoweiss, well documented Israeli attempts to thwart the ICC, including the crude intimidation of Fatou Bensouda, provide Khan more than enough ammunition to sink the âcomplementarityâ argument in his submission to the Chamber.
Vasiliev predicts a PTC ruling on arrest warrants by December. William Schabas thinks itâll happen much sooner.
If the 3-judge panel approves Khanâs arrest warrant application, the British barrister will be in a good position to up the ante.
According to a âPanel of Expertsâ convened by Prosecutor Khan â one of them a former ICC judge, another the former President of the International Criminal Tribunal for the Former Yugoslavia â additional crimes are âunder investigation and expected to lead to additional applications [for arrest warrants] in the future.â
Khanâs most likely added charges against Netanyahu and Gallant: Israelâs settlement enterprise â a war crime under the Rome Statute â and the crime against humanity of genocide.
Khan responds
In his âconsolidated responseâ to the pile of amicus briefs opposing PTC approval of arrest warrants, Khan suggests that genocide charges are on his mind.
âIsrael has deprived the Palestinian population of objects indispensable to their survival,â Khan told the PTC in his 49-page brief, submitted to the Chamber this past Friday.
Arguments that ICC prosecution of Israeli leaders is constrained by Oslo â that the Accords trump the Rome Statute â should be summarily dismissed, Khan told the PTC.
His comments about the complementarity principle â that Israel should be given the chance to prosecute its own top leaders before arrest warrants are issued â were acerbic.
âThere is no information indicating that [Benjamin Netanyahu and Yoav Gallant] are being criminally investigated or prosecuted, and indeed the core allegations against them have simply been rejected by Israeli authorities,â Khan told the Chamber.
Meanwhile, he added, âThe situation in the oPt, including Gaza, is catastrophic, owing in large part to the ongoing criminality described in the [arrest warrant] Applications.â
Citing a key provision of the Rome Statute, Khan advised the 3-judge panel that âthe arrest of the persons named in the Applications appears necessaryâ â âto prevent [them] from continuing with the commission of that crime or a related crime which is within the jurisdiction of the Court.â
As for additional Israeli persons to arrest, applications against Bezalel Smotrich and Itamar Ben-Gvir may well sit in Karim Khanâs top drawer, ready to be submitted to the PTC once warrants against Netanyahu and Gallant have gone out the door.
Unlike the ICJâs Advisory Opinion on the illegality of Israelâs occupation (for UN member states to accept or reject as they please), arrest warrants against Israelâs top leaders by the worldâs preeminent criminal court will be impossible for Israelâs allies to ignore.
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